ANALYSIS | Newt Gingrich's candidacy is surging, buoyed by the sharp decline in support for Herman Cain and the lack of another viable candidate to serve as an alternative to Mitt Romney. Romney has so far failed to expand his base of support, which has allowed Rick Perry, Herman Cain and now Newt Gingrich to claim, in turn, the Big Brass Ring of being portrayed as national front-runner for the Republican Presidential nomination.
One of the problems that hamstrings Romney's attempt to break out and establish himself as the leading candidate to take on Barack Obama in the 2012 election is his reputation as a flip-flopping RINO (Republican In Name Only).
Religion
RINO is a label that turns off true-blue, rock-ribbed Republicans, and conservatives are seeking one of their own who can win the nomination and beat Obama. However, a bigger problem threatening the viability of his candidacy may be Romney's religion. This also reflects a problem Gingrich will face as according to 2012 Republican Candidates, he was born a Lutheran, became a Southern Baptist after graduate school, and converted to Roman Catholicism in his 60's.
Many evangelical Christians, one of the most powerful voting blocs in the GOP, view Mormons as heretical cultists. Thus, Romney's religion may prevent him from gaining the nomination as evangelicals put a de facto veto on his candidacy.
Similarly, Newt also may be blocked by evangelicals as he has had three wives and three religions. His latest religion is Roman Catholicism, a bugaboo of many evangelicals, including the large Southern Baptist sect whose church Gingrich joined and then left. A lack of support among evangelicals disgusted with Newt's personal life may doom his candidacy.
This Dog Won't Hunt
No Roman Catholic has ever been nominated for President by the Republican Party. Two divorced candidates, Ronald Regan and John McCain, have received the GOP nod, but both were seen as honorable men who had been married for many years to their second wives. Neither candidate had a reputation as a serial adulterer.
To use a metaphor popular in the Bible Belt regions that a conservative must do well in, Newt is a dog that won't hunt.
He has been portrayed for years in the mainstream media as a despicable human being, an ethically challenged political hustler who told his wife as she lay on a hospital bed recovering from cancer he was divorcing her. He gained a reputation as a world-class hypocrite by leading the impeachment of President Bill Clinton essentially for being an adulterous philander while conducting his own adulterous affair.
Conservative voters' disgust over his personal life may well doom Gingrich's run for the Republican nomination.
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